|
Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate |
Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Michele Bachmann |
Rick Santorum |
Jon Huntsman |
Herman Cain |
Ron Paul |
Gary Johnson |
Rick Perry |
Undecided |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Col % |
Iowa Likely Voters |
5% |
26% |
11% |
3% |
1% |
20% |
12% |
1% |
11% |
10% |
Tea Party Supporters |
3% |
16% |
12% |
3% |
0% |
31% |
9% |
1% |
14% |
9% |
Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
3% |
8% |
10% |
2% |
0% |
41% |
11% |
0% |
15% |
10% |
Support Tea Party |
4% |
21% |
14% |
4% |
0% |
25% |
8% |
2% |
13% |
9% |
Does not support Tea Party |
6% |
35% |
7% |
3% |
2% |
11% |
16% |
1% |
10% |
9% |
Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
4% |
33% |
11% |
2% |
4% |
10% |
13% |
1% |
11% |
11% |
Conservative |
5% |
23% |
10% |
4% |
1% |
25% |
11% |
1% |
12% |
10% |
Past Participation** |
Yes |
4% |
25% |
10% |
5% |
1% |
23% |
10% |
1% |
13% |
9% |
No |
5% |
26% |
12% |
1% |
3% |
16% |
15% |
1% |
9% |
11% |
Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
4% |
20% |
10% |
2% |
2% |
33% |
21% |
1% |
6% |
0% |
Somewhat support |
6% |
31% |
14% |
6% |
0% |
20% |
6% |
0% |
16% |
0% |
Might vote differently |
5% |
37% |
9% |
1% |
4% |
15% |
13% |
1% |
14% |
0% |
Most important quality in Republican presidential candidate |
Shares your values |
3% |
24% |
12% |
3% |
0% |
24% |
7% |
1% |
16% |
8% |
Is closest to you on the issues |
2% |
17% |
11% |
3% |
3% |
21% |
21% |
2% |
7% |
12% |
Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
11% |
26% |
11% |
3% |
0% |
26% |
5% |
0% |
12% |
6% |
Has the experience to govern |
6% |
44% |
8% |
1% |
3% |
9% |
12% |
0% |
12% |
6% |
Gender |
Men |
6% |
26% |
8% |
3% |
2% |
23% |
15% |
0% |
11% |
8% |
Women |
3% |
26% |
14% |
4% |
1% |
18% |
8% |
1% |
12% |
13% |
Age |
Under 45 |
3% |
24% |
11% |
1% |
2% |
19% |
16% |
1% |
13% |
9% |
45 or older |
5% |
27% |
11% |
5% |
1% |
21% |
8% |
1% |
11% |
11% |
Region |
Eastern Cities |
3% |
27% |
8% |
1% |
1% |
28% |
10% |
2% |
12% |
7% |
East Central |
3% |
33% |
15% |
1% |
0% |
13% |
15% |
1% |
8% |
11% |
Central |
8% |
22% |
11% |
5% |
4% |
19% |
11% |
0% |
12% |
8% |
West |
3% |
23% |
8% |
5% |
0% |
22% |
11% |
0% |
14% |
14% |
Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
3% |
25% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
21% |
15% |
1% |
12% |
7% |
$75,000 or more |
6% |
28% |
11% |
3% |
2% |
22% |
6% |
2% |
13% |
8% |
Evangelical Christians |
4% |
24% |
11% |
4% |
0% |
24% |
8% |
0% |
15% |
9% |
Education |
Not college graduate |
3% |
28% |
12% |
2% |
2% |
18% |
12% |
1% |
11% |
11% |
College graduate |
7% |
23% |
8% |
4% |
0% |
25% |
12% |
1% |
11% |
8% |
Interview Type |
Landline |
5% |
28% |
10% |
4% |
0% |
23% |
8% |
1% |
12% |
10% |
Cell Phone |
4% |
20% |
13% |
1% |
4% |
15% |
22% |
1% |
11% |
10% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Iowa Likely Republican Caucus Voters. Interviews conducted October 3rd through 5th, 2011, N=371 MOE +/- 5.1%. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **Past participation refers to previous participation in an Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus. |